Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.003850 0.004048 0.004251 0.004475 0.004716 0.004967 0.005248
2025-07-06 0.003405 0.003688 0.003989 0.004336 0.004725 0.005151 0.005653
2025-07-13 0.003200 0.003536 0.003904 0.004340 0.004846 0.005417 0.006117
2025-07-20 0.003082 0.003461 0.003887 0.004404 0.005021 0.005738 0.006646
2025-07-27 0.002928 0.003331 0.003792 0.004363 0.005059 0.005889 0.006968
2025-08-03 0.002802 0.003224 0.003715 0.004333 0.005103 0.006041 0.007291
2025-08-10 0.002690 0.003126 0.003640 0.004300 0.005134 0.006172 0.007588
2025-08-17 0.002642 0.003102 0.003653 0.004370 0.005295 0.006470 0.008114
2025-08-24 0.002559 0.003030 0.003601 0.004354 0.005342 0.006620 0.008446
2025-08-31 0.002476 0.002955 0.003541 0.004325 0.005367 0.006738 0.008738
2025-09-07 0.002389 0.002870 0.003465 0.004269 0.005353 0.006800 0.008951
2025-09-14 0.002307 0.002788 0.003389 0.004210 0.005330 0.006848 0.009142
2025-09-21 0.002253 0.002743 0.003360 0.004212 0.005391 0.007015 0.009519
2025-09-28 0.002149 0.002628 0.003236 0.004083 0.005266 0.006913 0.009489
2025-10-05 0.002105 0.002590 0.003212 0.004087 0.005324 0.007075 0.009866
2025-10-12 0.002085 0.002584 0.003228 0.004146 0.005464 0.007360 0.010449
2025-10-19 0.002029 0.002527 0.003176 0.004108 0.005460 0.007431 0.010696
2025-10-26 0.001981 0.002479 0.003133 0.004081 0.005470 0.007522 0.010979
2025-11-02 0.001933 0.002431 0.003089 0.004050 0.005473 0.007600 0.011243
2025-11-09 0.001922 0.002432 0.003111 0.004115 0.005620 0.007909 0.011913
2025-11-16 0.001885 0.002395 0.003080 0.004100 0.005646 0.008027 0.012262
2025-11-23 0.001844 0.002354 0.003041 0.004073 0.005652 0.008111 0.012555
2025-11-30 0.001798 0.002302 0.002987 0.004022 0.005617 0.008128 0.012727